Mike Armstrong and Marc Fandetti break down the growing economic fallout from the war in Iran as oil prices surge and recession risks climb.

With gas prices jumping sharply and diesel and jet fuel costs rising, Mike and Marc examine:
• How higher energy prices act like a tax on consumers
• Why Moody’s warns a recession may be hard to avoid
• The return of “stagflation” — and what it really means
• Whether the Federal Reserve can look past an oil-driven inflation spike
• How rising fuel costs could ripple through airlines and travel

Plus, they discuss market resilience despite geopolitical risk, concerns about private credit spillovers, and the longer-term implications of global instability.

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Chuck Zodda and Mike Armstrong kick off the week with markets rebounding ahead of a critical Fed meeting — even as oil prices remain volatile and gas prices continue climbing.

In this hour:

• Can Nvidia maintain its dominance as AI shifts from training to inference?
• Why $50,000 cars — and sky-high financing rates — are stretching Americans to the limit
• The “tax bill” hiding inside your 401(k) and how required minimum distributions can surprise retirees
• Why Roth conversions aren’t one-size-fits-all
• What to do if (not if — when) your personal data is exposed in a breach
• The exploding cost of youth sports — and who’s really cashing in

Plus: market updates, Meta’s $27B AI infrastructure push, Micron’s Taiwan expansion, and a look at oil’s latest pullback.

Stay informed with The Financial Exchange.

Chuck Zodda and Mike Armstrong break down the mounting economic fallout from the Iran conflict, now entering its third week, as energy markets tighten and global supply gaps widen.

With the Strait of Hormuz largely restricted, the hosts examine:
• The growing daily oil supply deficit and what it means for prices
• Why spot energy prices are surging beyond futures markets
• Early warning signs of jet fuel and shipping disruptions
• The risk of renewed global supply chain stress
• How rising energy costs could ripple into inflation

Plus, ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve meeting, they discuss how Chair Jay Powell may respond to the twin risks of slowing labor data and a potential supply-driven inflation spike.

Markets may be rallying — but the real economic test could be just beginning.

Stay informed with The Financial Exchange.

Chuck Zodda and Mike Armstrong examine growing cracks in the private credit market — and why investors may be underestimating the broader risks.

With major alternative asset managers facing redemption pressures and some funds limiting withdrawals, the hosts break down what’s happening beneath the surface — and whether this could spill into insurance companies and other parts of the financial system.

Plus:
• Why traditional “safe haven” trades aren’t working
• Oil volatility and ongoing uncertainty around Iran
• Slowing GDP data and what it means for the Fed
• Mortgage rates jumping back above 6.3%
• Rising airfare costs as airlines pass along higher fuel prices
• The push for a $30 minimum wage in New York City

Markets remain near all-time highs — but are investors missing the warning signs?

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Chuck Zodda and Mike Armstrong break down what may already be the largest energy shock in modern history, as the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively blocked and oil markets begin pricing in prolonged disruption.

With roughly 20 million barrels per day normally flowing through the region, traders are now factoring in sustained supply shortages, rising long-term crude contracts, and mounting global deficits.

Chuck and Mike explain: 
• Why futures markets suggest higher oil prices for longer• The growing global supply shortfall — and what SPR releases can (and can’t) fix
• How Southeast Asia could face energy rationing and coal substitution
• Why stocks haven’t panicked — yet
• Slowing GDP data and what it means for the Fed
• Mortgage rates jumping back above 6.3% just as spring housing heats up

Plus, a look at inflation risks, market psychology, and whether investors may be underestimating the downside.

Stay informed with The Financial Exchange.

Markets remain under pressure as oil pushes toward $97 per barrel, Treasury yields climb, and mortgage rates move back above 6.25%.

Chuck Zodda and Mike Armstrong cover:
• Day 13 of the Middle East conflict and continued disruption in the Strait of Hormuz
• Why Asian economies are feeling the strain first
• What rising oil means for gas prices and inflation
• How a higher CPI could impact Social Security COLA in 2027

Plus: Are Americans actually saving enough for retirement? A look at new data — and why the headline may be more optimistic than reality.

Stay informed with The Financial Exchange.

Chuck Zodda and Mike Armstrong break down day 13 of the Iran conflict, with the Strait of Hormuz still largely shut and oil climbing back toward $95 per barrel.

They explain:
• Why the 400 million barrel SPR release may not solve the real supply problem
• How futures markets are signaling higher prices for longer
• What refinery slowdowns in Asia could mean for global shortages
• The growing risk to fertilizer, food supply, and developing economies

Plus: China’s reported fuel export ban, shifting tanker access rumors, and why it could take more than 4 million labor hours to process tariff refunds after the Supreme Court ruling.

Stay informed with The Financial Exchange.

Chuck Zodda and Paul Lane break down why February’s CPI report may already be outdated — and why March inflation could jump sharply as higher oil prices feed through the system.

They cover:
• How gasoline’s weighting in CPI could push the next reading dramatically higher
• Why fertilizer, helium, and semiconductors matter in a prolonged Strait of Hormuz disruption
• The growing risk of global shortages if energy flows don’t normalize
• Why financial stocks are quietly flashing caution signs
• JPMorgan tightening exposure to private credit

Plus: Oracle rallies on AI momentum, what strong spending from high-income earners means for the economy, and whether markets are underpricing broader risk.

Chuck Zodda and Paul Lane break down the IEA’s historic 400 million barrel strategic reserve release — the largest ever — and explain why it may only buy time, not fix the global supply problem.

They cover:
• Why flow rate matters more than headline barrel totals
• The risk of shortages in energy-dependent nations
• How uncertainty itself can push prices higher
• The most chaotic hour of oil trading in recent memory

Plus, in Ask Todd: life estates explained, IRA protection strategies, and what happens when you sell a home held in an irrevocable trust.

Stay ahead of the markets with The Financial Exchange.